HomeLibraryPublication

Seeds of distrust: conflict in Uganda

Dominic Rohner / Mathias Thoenig / Fabrizio Zilibotti (2013)

Key facts

Journal/Publisher
Journal of Economic Growth
Type of publication
Journal article
Elements of social cohesion
Trust
Identity/feeling of belonging
Geographical focus
Uganda
Main thematic areas
Conflict & peacebuilding

Summary

We study the effect of civil conflict on social capital, focusing on Uganda’s experience during the last decade. Using individual and county-level data, we document large causal effects on trust and ethnic identity of an exogenous outburst of ethnic conflicts in 2002–2005. We exploit two waves of survey data from Afrobarometer (Round 4 Afrobarometer Survey in Uganda, 2000, 2008), including information on socioeconomic characteristics at the individual level, and geo-referenced measures of fighting events from ACLED. Our identification strategy exploits variations in the both the spatial and ethnic intensity of fighting.We find that more intense fighting decreases generalized trust and increases ethnic identity. The effects are quantitatively large and robust to a number of control variables, alternative measures of violence, and different statistical techniques involving ethnic and spatial fixed effects and instrumental variables. Controlling for the intensity of violence during the conflict, we also document that post-conflict economic recovery is slower in ethnically fractionalized counties. Our findings are consistent with the existence of a self-reinforcing process between conflicts and ethnic cleavages.

Publication_2013_Dominic Rohner / Mathias Thoenig / Fabrizio Zilibotti

Explore the hub further

Communicational permeability
Concept

Communicational permeability

SCORE South Sudan
Data

SCORE South Sudan

graph_publication_Interventions to promote social cohesion in sub-Saharan Africa
Library

Interventions to promote social cohesion in sub-Saharan Africa

image_project_The Social Cohesion Fund in Burundi
Project

The Social Cohesion Fund in Burundi